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Tulsa’s Disastrous Recruiting Gaffe

Tulsa is a mid-major with one of the lowest enrollments in the FBS.  While Tulsa has not been a consistent power since the 1940’s, in their good years they generally have featured a stellar passing attack.  Glenn Dobbs, Heisman runnerup Jerry Rhome, Gus Frerotte, TJ Rubley, GJ Kinne and Dane Evans have all been stellar for the Golden Hurricane.

After Tulsa’s latest turnoverfest against Temple, their mark stands at 1-3.  The Golden Hurricane has committed 9 turnovers in their past two games, both winnable with fewer turnovers.   The current QB, Luke Skipper, has been a culprit and has been falling well short of Tulsa’s vaunted QB tradition.  To be competitive in the rugged American Athletic Conference, a terrific QB is needed to not be an afterthought in the neighborhood of Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and Arkansas.

Today, one of the best quarterbacks in America will be playing in Lynchburg, Virginia against FBS newbie, Liberty.  His name: Mason Fine.  His school: North Texas.  The Mean Green were the only FBS school to offer Fine a scholarship.

Now, the baffling part.  Despite a prolific prep career in Locust Grove, 50 minutes east of Tulsa, Fine did not get an offer from nearby Tulsa.  Oklahoma State liked Fine but was worried about his short height.  Fine is listed at 5’11” which likely means he is at most 5’10”   So, one of the best quarterbacks in recent history in Eastern Oklahoma has produced is leading a startling renaissance in Denton, Texas.

Schools like Oklahoma State can afford to occasionally miss on a quarterback since they can often dig into their recruiting well, but Tulsa’s mediocre QB play has been the difference between their current 1-3 mark and a possible 4-0 record.   While this development greatly cheers folks in Denton, Texas, Fine’s excellence has to greatly sting the Golden Hurricane.

Take a Bow, Mike Gundy!

When you see “Oklahoma State 44, Boise State 21,” you might assume that Oklahoma State was significantly better than Boise.  Well, you know what they say about assumptions.

Last Saturday’s game at Stillwater looked to be a pick em.  In fact, a number of experts picked Boise to win because of the Broncos’ big perceived advantage at quarterback.  Boise had 4-year starter, Brett Rypien, while Oklahoma State trotted out former walk on, Taylor Cornelius, Mason Rudolph’s backup the previous 4 years.  To boot, Cornelius had never taken meaningful snaps in a big game (with all due apologies to Missouri State and South Alabama).

Gundy’s play calling in the first half went against totally against his history as he kept calling on QB draws that effectively used Cornelius’ 230 pounds to good effect.  It helped Cornelius get into the flow of the game, so that when he was called on to throw his first bomb (after all, this is Oklahoma State), success!

Even though Boise has an experienced offensive line, Okie State took advantage of  a weakness at right tackle and, combined with some blitz creativity, sacked Rypien 7 times.

Two touchdowns resulted directly from punt blocks.  Boise’s tall punter has a slower than average “get off” time that the Cowboys exploited twice to turn the game on its head.

One element was predictable.  One might have thought that the loss of stellar receivers, James Washington and Marcell Ateman, might have impacted OSU’s ability to throw the ball.  Is the receiving cupboard in Stillwater ever bare?  Answer: NO.

My favorite coaching mullet  was more than worthy of his lifetime contract on Saturday.

5-Alarm Fire in the Big Ten

During the summer, talking heads were weighing this question:  Who was better:  The Big 10 East or the SEC West?  In retrospect, this was as funny as any utterance ever from Dave Letterman or Jay Leno.

Saturday was probably an all-time downer for the Big 10 in non-conference play.  The Associated Press poll started in 1936.  On Saturday, the Big 10 suffered the embarassment of losing to more unranked teams on any date since the AP started tallying opinions (we grant the skewness of this stat since we are now talking of the Big 14).

There were so many lowlights, it is hard to know exactly where to start.  In an early game, winless Temple ventured to unbeaten Maryland.  To make matters worse for the Owls, they were without Frank Nutile, their starting QB.  No matter.  Temple pounded Maryland, 35-14, recording 7 sacks and limiting the Terps to 195 yards of offense.  In what would be a recurring theme, Maryland’s offense scored 0 of their two touchdowns against a team that had allowed FCS Villanova 405 yards.  Startling how many touchdowns in Big 10 games were scored by defense and special teams.

When Nebraska’s freshman wonderkind QB, Adrian Martinez, did not go against Troy, the Huskers’ 2nd straight nonconference loss was  understandable.  Nebraska actually a 100+-yard edge in offense but a Troy punt return for a touchdown was key in the Trojans’ 24-19 upset win.

The most pitiful loss was probably by Rutgers.  The Scarlet Knights managed to be routed 55-14 by traditionally even more pitiful Kansas.  Like Maryland, to even get to a paltry 14 points, they needed a special teams touchdown.

The most consequential loss was BYU’s 24-21 upset at Madison.  Many thought the Badgers were prime playoff material.  But losing to a BYU team fresh off a loss to Cal is  going to go tabbed by the committee as a bad loss.  Kiss the playoffs goodbye, Wisconsin.  Hard to see Bucky winning at Michigan, at Iowa, at Penn State and then in the Big 10 title game.

On Saturday night, after all these Big 10 travesties had been processed, normalcy seemed to return to Evanston — at least for a half.  Northwestern’s Clayton Thorson threw a TD pass just before halftime to give the Wildcats a 21-3 lead over Akron.  Somehow, Akron scored three defensive touchdowns in the 2nd half to shock a team, 39-34, that had won 10 games in 2017.  For Akron, it was their first win against a Big 10 member since a 1894 win over Ohio State.  The Zips were called Buchtel College and their coach was none other than legendary John Heisman.

Even Michigan looked somewhat lethargic against SMU.  A 36-point favorite, the Wolverines were only winning 14-7 with 17 seconds to go in the 1st half before a 73-yard interception return touchdown by Josh Metellus totally changed the complexion of the game.  The Maize and Blue are surely not all the way back.

Michigan State’s upset loss in the desert a week ago looks worse now as Arizona State succumbed to a Mountain West team, San Diego State, on Saturday night.

True, Ohio State looked quite good in their 40-28 win over TCU, featuring two defensive touchdowns.  They may well get bored playing the Big 10 schedule. After all, there is only so much lipstick you can put on a pig.

 

Analysis from Miami/Toledo & Michigan/SMU

The latest Odyssey doubleheader was blessed with beautiful weather in which summer said, “Don’t count me out just yet.”

The sold out Glass Bowl was rocking for a once-in-a-lifetime visit from 5-time national champion Miami.  When the Hurricanes sprinted off to 21-0 lead, Rocket fans were gloomy.  However, a TD drive just before halftime reduced the deficit and rejuvenated the crowd.

Despite a fierce pass rush from Miami’s excellent defensive front, Toledo twice reduced Miami’s lead to 7.  Hanging on to a 28-21 lead, the key drive occurred late in the 3rd quarter when Miami converted 3 third down conversions and one 4th down conversion to take an insurmountable 35-21 lead.  If unsuccessful on any of those conversions, the crowd would have been loud enough to hear at the Michigan state line.

Both teams could be buoyed by their QB play.  “Maligned Malik” Rosier no more?  The Hurricane QB tossed two TD passes and added 3 TD runs as he scampered for 80 yards.  For the Rockets, the biggest question entering 2018 was who was going to replace Logan Woodside at QB.  Question answered!!  Mitch Guadagni was calm in the face of Miami’s pass rush, often found his talented receivers and showed a lot of ability to step up in the pocket and run when needed (77 yards rushing on the day).

Overall, the game was a great advertisement for college football.  Please, Power 5 teams, make more visits to the Group of 5!!  Fun environment when it occurs.

A quick 55 minutes later, we walked into the Big House, expecting to see a rout.  Surprise!  Michigan found itself in a dogfight with downtrodden SMU.  Michigan punted on its first two possessions and was nursing a 14-7 lead with 17 seconds to go in the half.  SMU was driving  in UM territory.  Ben Hicks threw an ill advised pass that Josh Metellus intercepted.  Metellus more than made up for his pass interference infraction on the previous play.  He made a spectacular 73-yard return as the half ended.  A stupendous momentum changer and the first “Reverse Hail Mary” the Odyssey has seen.

The second half was sloppy.  When a televised game, replete with 3 minute media timeouts, is coupled with numerous penalties, the game loses its flow.  As Donald Trump might tweet, “SAD”

Michigan does not appear to be playing up to its ability.  Is it coaching that accounts for the inordinate number of penalties or just an unfocused team?  In the first half, Jim Harbaugh’s play calling might have made Bo Schembechler look like a raving maniac in comparison.  Coach, you now have a quarterback!  Let him play!  Shea Patterson looked great, but he only had 18 passing attempts.  And to try to grind it out on the ground when you only have, at best, a very average offensive line does not make a ton of sense.  Michigan’s tackles have taken most of the heat but, honestly, their interior often was unable to dominate the SMU defensive line in rushing attempts.

Michigan will be heavily favored when Nebraska comes to town next Saturday.  But if the Wolverines play like they did on Saturday, expect the game to be a bit closer than the experts think, particularly if Nebraska’s wonderkind freshman QB is fully recovered from the injury suffered in last week’s heartbreaker against Colorado.

SMU made a QB change in the 2nd half and the move achieved some very positive results.  WIlliam Brown gave the Mustangs some hope for the future.  UM did not effectively cover mighty mite, James Proche, as Proche wound up with 11 receptions for 166 yards.

In the doubleheader, 3 teams seem headed on an upward trajectory.  For Michigan, Shea Patterson gives the Maize and Blue a lot of hope. But in both the Notre Dame game and yesterday, there is still a lot to clean up if Jim Harbaugh is going to get his critics off his back.

The Odyssey’s Saturday Doubleheader

The Odyssey flies in to Detroit this evening so we can catch one of the most anticipated Glass Bowl games ever.  Miami and its turnover chain play Toledo at noon.

Toledo’s strong football tradition has long bedeviled Power 5 teams courageous enough to travel to the Glass Bowl.  15 years ago, the 9th-ranked Pitt Panthers, featuring superstar receiver, Larry Fitzgerald, were upended, 35-31.  Toledo native, Joe Tiller, brought his first Purdue team to Toledo only to be upset.

Both teams enter  the game coming off slaughters of FCS teams.  Toledo’s unusual bye week has given them two weeks of preparation time.   In last year’s game, the Rockets led at halftime, 16-10, only to have the roof fall in during the 2nd half in Miami’s 52-30 triumph.

Perhaps memories of last year’s game will give “Maligned Malik” Rosier some much-needed confidence.  Rosier threw for 333 yards and 3 touchdowns against the Rockets.  However, Miami’s current 4-game losing streak against FBS teams has featured equally problematic play from both Rosier and his offensive line.  The Hurricane offense looked dreadful against an admittedly strong LSU defense in their opener.

Toledo has a deep stable of skill position players to trouble Miami’s elite defense if the Rocket’s first-year starting QB (presumably Mitchell Guadagni) can play well.  This is the biggest question as to whether the Rockets can pull off another Glass Bowl upset.

After the game, we will travel North on US23 to Ann Arbor (only about a 50-minute drive) to catch the later part of the Michigan-SMU game.  It is not often that a trip to the Big House is an afterthought.  However, SMU’s performance in the first three quarters of their opener against North Texas was arguably the worst of any FBS team in 2017.  To say we expect a noncompetitive game would be an understatement.

 

3 Notable Celebrations

Two seismic streaks thankfully ended on Saturday.  Kentucky went into Gainesville, sporting a 31-game losing streak against the Gators.  Two of their recent losses to Florida were unbearably excruciating.  Dominating both lines of scrimmage, the Wildcats prevailed 27-16.  NO college team is good enough to beat Kentucky 32 games in a row!!

An even longer streak was snapped in Mount Pleasant, Michigan.  The woebegone Jayhawk program had lost 46 consecutive road games (Where have you gone, Mark Mangino??).  Kansas dominated Central Michigan.

We hope the partying went well into the night in both Lexington and Lawrence.  Like cholesterol, there are both good and bad celebrations.  At a soggy Purdue stadium, a catastrophic celebration occurred.  Down 17-12, with 6:41 to play, D.J Knox rips off a 45 yard TD scamper for the Boilermakers.  18-17, Purdue.  Mr. Knox was so excited that he was penalized for excessive celebration.  OOPS!!  Purdue was forced to settle for a PAT instead of going for a 2-point conversion.  19-17, Purdue….16-point underdog Eastern Michigan kicks a game-winning field goal at the gun.

This was a devastating loss for Purdue.  For the second straight home game, they arguably outplayed their opponents only to be sporting an 0-2 record.  The Boilers have to play improved Missouri and Boston College teams the next two weeks before embarking on Big 10 play.  It looks like all the progress Jeff Brohm made last year may be reversed in 2018 — despite the epic talents of Freshman scatback Rondale Moore.

Coaching Boos and Cheers

Coaching is always of paramount importance in college football.  Never more so in Week 1.

Kevin Sumlin is the new Arizona head coach in the wake of the Rich Rod firing.  Arizona possesses the best running QB in the country in Khalil Tate.  Nobody else is really close.  Sumlin limited Tate to 8 nondescript carries while morphing Tate into a long-bomb passer.   Not coincidentally, the Wildcats succumbed to double-digit underdog BYU.   Not that Tate does not have a good arm but…..if Kevin Sumlin were lucky enough to have a prom date with Kate Upton, he would probably ask her to dress in a burlap bag.

The biggest coaching mismatch of the week occurred in Tallahassee.  Virginia Tech’s defensive coordinator, Bud Foster, commenced his 32nd season in Blacksburg for an excellent reason.  His inexperienced defense (his 2-deep is riddled with Freshmen and Sophomores) went on the road against perennial power Florida State as a touchdown underdog.  VT held Florida State to a field goal in a 24-3 upset win.  New FSU coach, Willie Taggart,  now has to deal with questions like “Why in the hell did we hire this guy?”

For the fourth year in a row or so, Florida State’s offensive line appears to be a weakness.  Ditto for Michigan and Miami (Florida).  How these powers can not attract and groom quality offensive line personnel boggles the mind.  Shea Patterson, Michigan’s hoped-for savior, cannot perform miracles when he is constantly on the run.  Of course, it might help if Jim Harbaugh’s play calling was not so predictable.

On a more positive note, Hawaii’s new Run and Shoot and its genius play calling by Tim Rolovich and staff continues to be a revelation.  How did a team supposed to be one of the very worst of the 130 D-1 programs suddenly became a candidate to win double-digit games.  Fantastic!!!

College Football’s Rodney Dangerfield

The beauty of week 1 in college football is its unpredictability.  Lots of new faces take their first star turn.  Even established programs can surprise:  Absolutely nobody predicted the dominance from either LSU or Washington State this weekend.

However, the most electric surprise in the country are the Hawaii RAINBOW Warriors (The Odyssey hated the deletion of Rainbow from their nickname for its decade+ of deletion).  In part due to transfer defections, Hawaii was supposed to stink this year.  How stinky??  So stinky that Phil Steele pegged Hawaii for dead last in its division.  That sounds bad enough but when you recall that San Jose State is in the division, Steele basically foresaw the Rainbow Warriors as one of the very, very worst teams in college football. He had lots of company as the season win total in Las Vegas hovered between 3 and 3.5 (mind you, this was based on a 13-game schedule for Hawaii).

Oddly, the defection of two-year starting quarterback Dru Brown to Oklahoma State is riddled with irony.  First, Brown was not tabbed the Stillwater starter. Second, this allowed Cole McDonald to become Hawaii’s starter.  This may have been the best luck for a team since Wally Pipp’s injury allowed Lou Gehrig to start for the Yankees.

Hawaii, due to a week 0 tilt with Colorado State, has amassed a whopping 1,139 yards of offense.  The most amazing betting line this year occurred in the Navy game Saturday in Honolulu.  Despite Hawaii’s upset win at Colorado State as a 17 point dog, Navy started as a 12 point favorite.  As game time approached, the line rose to 14.  When you factor in the 6 time zones of travel for the Middies, and that Navy does not play great defense even in its best years, bettors had little belief in the Rainbow Warriors.

I wonder what bettors thought when Navy’s halftime deficit was a whopping 24 points at 38-14.  The charismatic McDonald threw for 6 TDs to a stellar receiving corps of John Ursua, Cedric Byrd and Jojo Ward.  If Hollywood ever wants to cast a great looking guy with surfer-dude looks and some mini-dreadlocks, McDonald is that guy.

We realize that their offensive fireworks have occurred against two teams who play little defense.  Hawaii has a tissue soft schedule the next month.  We expect Wyoming to come to Honolulu on October 6 against a psyched up 6-0 Rainbow Warrior squad.  We believe Hawaii has a reasonable shot to travel to Provo the following week as an undefeated team against a rejuvenated BYU.

Their story is already a great one and has the potential to become even better.  Mahalo!

Heaven and Hell in San Francisco’s South Bay

Should San Jose State even continue having a D-1 program?   After another dismal 2017 season, the Spartans’ schedule looked as if there were two games in which they would be favored.  Thursday night, SJSU played one of them, D-1A UC Davis.  They managed to “hold” Aggie QB, Jake Maier, to 354 passing yards — IN THE FIRST HALF!  A 44-38 loss dragged the Spartan program even lower — if that was possible.

A month ago, we would have guessed that Hawaii would be a winnable game for SJSU.  However, last Saturday the Rainbow Warriors looked great for the first 35 minutes in an upset win at Colorado State.  Army looks to be a bit down this year so perhaps the Spartans could pull the upset at Levi Stadium.  If not, 0-12 looms.

The San Jose State teams of my youth were often quality teams that would periodically upset neighboring Stanford.  In Jack Elway and Claude Gilbert, SJSU had two terrific coaches.  Recent years have been a nightmare save for Mike McIntyre’s one excellent season before bolting to Boulder.  They play in an aging stadium that has seen better days.  A shame, because the views are magnificent.  Just as the Odyssey opined that Idaho should drop down to FCS (which they finally did this year in rejoining the excellent Big Sky conference), SJSU should consider the same option.  Being a punching bag and laughing stock is no fun — especially when the fan base is small and relatively disinterested.

On Friday night, 25 minutes to the north, Stanford opened against a dangerous SDSU team.  The Cardinal went into the game with one Heisman Trophy candidate and finished the game with two.  All American Bryce Love was absolutely stoned by the Aztec defense– held to 29 yards rushing or, put another way, 1.6 miniscule yards per carry.  SDSU dominated much of the first half until a 40-yard TD strike from KJ Costello to JJ Arcega-Whiteside just before half gave Stanford a 9-7 lead at the break.  Because the Aztec defense sold out to stop Love, their DBs were often in one-on-one coverage.  The result:  Once David Shaw starting dialing up numerous pass plays, the Cardinal rolled by a 31-10 tally.  One piece of advice to USC when the Trojans come to Palo Alto next week:  Give your corner some safety help on Arcega Whiteside!  A&W wound up with 6 receptions (3 TDs) for 228 yards.  His 3 TD catches were no fluke as he did the same in last year’s Alamo Bowl against TCU.

KJ Costello was utterly magnificent.  21/31/322 is a nice stat line.  In one of the game’s key plays, he did throw one pick to SDSU’s excellent Noble Hall.  Alas, Hall, no running back, fumbled on the return so no harm done to Stanford.

Stanford’s front 7 held up better than the Odyssey expected.  Even when SDSU QB, Christian Chapman, had time, Stanford’s DBs provided very good coverage.  I thought Stanford was a bit overrated going into the season.  But that is the beauty of Week 1 in college football:  So many surprises that cause us to change our minds.  I now believe Stanford has a good chance to beat USC in next week’s marquee matchup.

 

Stanford – San Diego State Preview

The Odyssey will be in the press box in Palo Alto Friday night.

We anticipate a closer game than Las Vegas predicts.  San Diego State is a 2-touchdown underdog.  For a team which beat Stanford last year, is returning both their quarterback and offensive line and likes to control the clock, we think the Aztecs are not getting enough respect.  Sure, Rashaad Penny has graduated but his backup, Juwan Washington averaged 6 yards per carry as well as taking multiple kick returns to the house.

Yes, Bryce Love returns and he is awesome.  He caused 76 missed tackles last year and if he gets in space, he is gone.  He was spectacular in last year’s game in San Diego and his heroics were still not enough.  Stanford will have a clear upgrade in one regard.  QB K.J. Costello has much more upside than last year’s starter in the Aztec upset, Keller Chryst.  Chryst played poorly last year (Perhaps overly conservative play calling contributed to his disappointing output).  When we left the stadium, we half expected to overhear a disgruntled Stanford fan to mutter, “Christ, he’s a killer.”

Those many pundits who highly tout Stanford this year must be Beatles’ disciples who believe “All You Need Is Love.”  However, Bryce Love does not play defense and we believe the Cardinal front 7 is not as stout as virtually any in the David Shaw era.

As a result, we expect more than the total of 48.5 points to be scored in spite of the conservative SDSU offense.  The Aztecs will not be able to stop Love and his talented offensive line.  Regardless, we believe Stanford will have difficulty containing the Aztecs.  Whoever has the ball last may well win this game.

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